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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.47+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.43+6.60vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.10+4.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.12+2.72vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+0.87vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-2.67vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.32-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+2.48vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.97+0.32vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.44-2.48vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.73+1.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.66-3.89vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+0.56vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.53-2.98vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.36-1.44vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-3.79+0.39vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-3.81-0.48vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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5.87California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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3.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.3%1st Place
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6.06Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Santa Barbara-0.440.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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12.02Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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14.56University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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17.39University of California at San Diego-3.790.0%1st Place
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17.52Arizona State University-3.810.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 23.3% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 25.6% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| JT Long | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 13.5% | 3.9% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Grace Richie | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Tean Brooks | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 28.0% | 42.3% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 11.6% | 27.6% | 43.2% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.