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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.52+2.63vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53-0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.02+2.25vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.34+1.95vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.09+3.24vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.52+0.53vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-1.30+1.81vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.87vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-1.52+0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+0.59vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84-0.33vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.52-5.50vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-1.87-2.23vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-2.64-1.50vs Predicted
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16Indiana University-1.18-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Jacksonville University1.4532.6%1st Place
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4.63University of South Florida0.5211.2%1st Place
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2.89North Carolina State University1.5327.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Virginia0.025.8%1st Place
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6.95Christopher Newport University-0.345.2%1st Place
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9.24Embry-Riddle University-1.091.6%1st Place
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7.53University of Texas-0.523.4%1st Place
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9.81Florida Institute of Technology-1.301.5%1st Place
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9.87SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.1%1st Place
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10.65The Citadel-1.521.6%1st Place
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11.59University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.430.9%1st Place
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11.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.840.9%1st Place
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7.5Clemson University-0.523.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Maryland-1.871.0%1st Place
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13.5William and Mary-2.640.4%1st Place
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9.56Indiana University-1.181.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 32.6% | 25.1% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 27.0% | 23.2% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Conner Hedge | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Fenner | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Lara Sloep | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% |
| John TIS | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 11.7% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 12.9% |
| William Avery | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 15.3% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 41.4% |
| Ian Knox | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.