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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+6.26vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.05+5.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.43+5.76vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.47-0.70vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-1.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.10+0.59vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.32-1.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.36vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-4.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.62+4.65vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+0.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.73-0.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.66-4.45vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-1.07vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.53-3.65vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.31-2.29vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.07-3.88vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-3.81-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Santa Barbara-0.050.1%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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3.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.2%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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6.42Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
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10.36University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.75California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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15.65University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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12.87University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.93University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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12.35Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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14.71University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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14.12University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
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17.64Arizona State University-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Groom | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Erisman | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke Harris | 23.6% | 20.7% | 17.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 20.8% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Conner Skewes | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 22.4% | 15.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Nikita Swatek | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 6.3% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Bella Valente | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 8.7% |
| Teresa Dang | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 5.7% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.