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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.20+4.60vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.32+3.25vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+3.25vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.10+2.71vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.47-2.69vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.43+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.73+2.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.05-3.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.62+3.80vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.07+0.81vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.66-4.42vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-3.19vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.53-3.72vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-3.81+0.71vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.31-3.28vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.31-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.2%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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6.25Arizona State University0.320.1%1st Place
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7.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.31University of Southern California1.470.3%1st Place
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5.81California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.1%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Santa Barbara-0.050.0%1st Place
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15.8University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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12.28Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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17.71Arizona State University-3.810.0%1st Place
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14.72University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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14.49University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 22.9% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 26.0% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Erisman | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 26.2% | 14.0% |
| Teresa Dang | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 4.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Corbin Stanley | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 63.4% |
| Bella Valente | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 6.7% |
| John Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.