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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.53+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+1.23vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.33-0.58vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-0.93vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.10+0.10vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.00+0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-3.11+0.37vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-0.85-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Wisconsin0.530.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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2.42Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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3.07Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.09Purdue University-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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7.4Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
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5.75Lake Forest College-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 15.0% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 17.0% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Smith | 33.2% | 25.8% | 19.2% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 21.7% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 1.3% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 20.2% | 27.0% | 19.3% | 4.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 18.4% | 41.1% | 21.7% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 16.0% | 70.3% |
| Lucia Marquez | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 23.0% | 24.1% | 13.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.