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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+1.17vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.82+0.13vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.50+1.16vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.00+2.22vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.10+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-3.11+1.42vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-0.85-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.53-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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3.17University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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3.13Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.16Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.22Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
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5.81Lake Forest College-0.850.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Wisconsin0.530.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 32.3% | 26.7% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 17.7% | 21.2% | 22.5% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 20.6% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 37.5% | 19.9% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 25.4% | 21.1% | 4.1% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 16.2% | 71.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 23.9% | 16.3% | 3.4% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 16.3% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.