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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.23+1.02vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-1.04vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.85+0.59vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.50-0.89vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.00+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.10-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-3.11-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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3.14University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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4.02University of Wisconsin0.230.1%1st Place
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2.96Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.59Lake Forest College-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.11Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.34Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 34.9% | 26.2% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 17.7% | 24.2% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellena Frumiento | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.3% | 21.2% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 22.1% | 12.8% | 3.3% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 19.1% | 7.0% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 42.5% | 20.3% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 26.1% | 19.5% | 5.0% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 15.8% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.