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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+1.39vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.23+1.01vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-1.03vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.50+0.01vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.85-0.31vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.00+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.10-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-3.11-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Northwestern University1.330.4%1st Place
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3.14University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Wisconsin0.230.1%1st Place
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2.97Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.01Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.69Lake Forest College-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.33Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 35.2% | 25.3% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 17.9% | 23.1% | 21.0% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ellena Frumiento | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.5% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Lucia Marquez | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 25.4% | 13.2% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 41.5% | 20.5% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 25.8% | 19.7% | 4.7% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 15.5% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.