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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+1.36vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.23+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.86+0.01vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.10+1.00vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.85-0.29vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.50-1.86vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.00-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-3.11-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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4.14University of Wisconsin0.230.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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2.96Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.71Lake Forest College-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.14Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.31Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 33.9% | 28.8% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellena Frumiento | 8.4% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 21.7% | 20.9% | 22.4% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.4% | 21.2% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 24.5% | 18.2% | 5.6% |
| Lucia Marquez | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 20.8% | 25.9% | 13.3% | 2.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 16.2% | 8.4% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 40.1% | 21.3% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 17.1% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.