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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.86+2.00vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.33+0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.23+0.99vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.85+1.63vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.82-2.00vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.00+1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.10-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-3.11+0.39vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.50-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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2.48Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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3.99University of Wisconsin0.230.1%1st Place
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5.63Lake Forest College-0.850.0%1st Place
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3.0Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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7.28Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
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5.1Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 21.4% | 22.1% | 21.1% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Smith | 31.3% | 25.3% | 21.5% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellena Frumiento | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Marquez | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 12.7% | 3.3% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.4% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 41.8% | 19.9% |
| Molly Sheridan | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 28.2% | 20.0% | 3.9% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 15.6% | 71.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.