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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+1.55vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+0.95vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.52+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.02+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.52+2.51vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.09+3.35vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University-0.34+0.01vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.65vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-1.52+1.76vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.52-2.43vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84+0.43vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-1.87-0.24vs Predicted
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13Indiana University-1.18-3.43vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-2.54vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-2.64-1.41vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.30-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Jacksonville University1.4533.9%1st Place
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2.95North Carolina State University1.5324.9%1st Place
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4.69University of South Florida0.5211.2%1st Place
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6.28University of Virginia0.026.4%1st Place
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7.51University of Texas-0.523.7%1st Place
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9.35Embry-Riddle University-1.092.0%1st Place
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7.01Christopher Newport University-0.344.5%1st Place
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9.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.1%1st Place
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10.76The Citadel-1.521.2%1st Place
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7.57Clemson University-0.522.8%1st Place
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11.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.840.9%1st Place
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11.76University of Maryland-1.871.2%1st Place
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9.57Indiana University-1.181.6%1st Place
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11.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.0%1st Place
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13.59William and Mary-2.640.4%1st Place
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9.89Florida Institute of Technology-1.302.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 33.9% | 25.2% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 24.9% | 22.6% | 20.8% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Fenner | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Conner Hedge | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 7.2% |
| William Avery | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 11.9% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.7% |
| Ian Knox | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| John TIS | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 11.4% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 42.5% |
| Lara Sloep | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.