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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.33+1.36vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.86+1.10vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.82+0.06vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.50+1.11vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.00+2.22vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.85-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.23-3.02vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.10-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-3.11-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Northwestern University1.330.3%1st Place
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3.1University of Wisconsin0.860.2%1st Place
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3.06Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.11Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.22Michigan Technological University-2.000.0%1st Place
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5.71Lake Forest College-0.850.0%1st Place
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3.98University of Wisconsin0.230.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Illinois-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Michigan-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 34.7% | 25.5% | 20.5% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 18.1% | 23.2% | 22.7% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 21.5% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 36.9% | 21.6% |
| Lucia Marquez | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 24.5% | 14.3% | 1.9% |
| Ellena Frumiento | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 25.0% | 21.4% | 4.9% |
| Julia Pressman | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 15.9% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.