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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.43+1.19vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.70+0.04vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-2.14+3.06vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.31+0.53vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-2.38+1.26vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-2.76+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.25-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-2.83-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-0.66-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of Wisconsin0.430.3%1st Place
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2.04Northwestern University0.700.4%1st Place
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6.06Purdue University-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.53Michigan Technological University-1.310.1%1st Place
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6.26Lake Forest College-2.380.0%1st Place
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6.97Indiana University-2.760.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Michigan-2.250.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Illinois-2.830.0%1st Place
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3.61University of Wisconsin-0.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 34.7% | 31.5% | 19.2% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 38.7% | 32.3% | 18.8% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cara Brickhouse | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.5% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 15.9% |
| Delaynie Grove | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 26.3% |
| Jacqueline Suarez | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 12.5% |
| Grace Morby | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 32.5% |
| Sydney Mandell | 11.1% | 15.4% | 23.7% | 21.1% | 15.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.