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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+5.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+7.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.79vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+1.85vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.76+8.70vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+3.77vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.46+0.29vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.19+4.21vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-1.85vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.13+2.78vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-3.57vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.42vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.26-1.04vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-3.43vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.15-2.55vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.58-9.12vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-7.90vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.16College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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5.85Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.7University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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7.29Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.78Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.96George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.57Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Pennsylvania1.150.0%1st Place
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6.88Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 9.4% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 27.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ava Farley | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 14.9% |
| bella casaretto | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.