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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+5.43vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.46+5.48vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+7.02vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+4.85vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+2.18vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.58+0.74vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+2.00vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.92vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.47vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.13+2.74vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-0.04vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.26+0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76+0.65vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.96vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.82-9.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-8.64vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.15-4.37vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.43-10.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.48Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.74Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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12.74Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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10.96Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.42George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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13.65University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.86Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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12.63University of Pennsylvania1.150.0%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 24.7% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.8% |
| bella casaretto | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.