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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University-0.34+6.45vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+0.62vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.52+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.02+1.78vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-1.04+4.06vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-0.52+1.00vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-1.18+2.54vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.75vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+2.72vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.09-0.94vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-1.52-0.42vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.52-4.95vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-1.45-2.43vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.30-4.28vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84-3.27vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-2.64-1.98vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-2.36-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Christopher Newport University-0.344.5%1st Place
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2.62Jacksonville University1.4532.0%1st Place
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3.06North Carolina State University1.5324.6%1st Place
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4.93University of South Florida0.5210.7%1st Place
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6.78University of Virginia0.025.2%1st Place
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10.06University of Florida-1.042.5%1st Place
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8.0University of Texas-0.524.0%1st Place
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10.54Indiana University-1.181.8%1st Place
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10.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.601.8%1st Place
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12.72University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.1%1st Place
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10.06Embry-Riddle University-1.092.0%1st Place
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11.58The Citadel-1.521.1%1st Place
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8.05Clemson University-0.523.5%1st Place
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11.57University of Maryland-1.451.2%1st Place
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10.72Florida Institute of Technology-1.301.8%1st Place
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12.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.841.0%1st Place
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15.02William and Mary-2.640.6%1st Place
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14.35University of North Carolina-2.360.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Beavers | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 32.0% | 25.7% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 24.6% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ayden Feria | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Fenner | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ian Knox | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| John TIS | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% |
| Conner Hedge | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| William Avery | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carter Saunders | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Lara Sloep | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Caswell Kern | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.3% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 36.9% |
| Megan Miller | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.