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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.46+6.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+3.99vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.07+4.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+2.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+2.64vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.04+0.76vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.58-2.43vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.75-3.71vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-1.95vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.31vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-2.38vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.26-2.34vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.13-2.52vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.62vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.15-4.45vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.76-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.99Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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6.57Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.29Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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10.62Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.66George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.48Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Pennsylvania1.150.0%1st Place
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13.65University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| Ava Farley | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.