← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.82+4.99vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.04+7.08vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.58+3.85vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.46+3.09vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy1.19+7.15vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.57+4.84vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.21vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.07+0.69vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.47-1.98vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.75-3.70vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.15+1.48vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.33vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.13-0.66vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.03-5.38vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-6.54vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island1.84-6.26vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.76-3.06vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University1.26-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.99Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.08College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
-
6.85Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
-
7.09Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
12.15U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
10.84Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
8.69Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
7.02Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
6.3Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
12.48University of Pennsylvania1.150.0%1st Place
-
12.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
-
12.34Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
-
8.62Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
9.74University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
-
13.94University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
11.88George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.3% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Margaux Cowles | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 11.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 26.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.