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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.46+6.35vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+7.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.21vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+2.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.17vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47+0.11vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03+0.77vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.01vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.07-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-1.25vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-5.94vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.13-0.65vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.15-1.86vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-4.23vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-2.11vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-4.80vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.19-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.03College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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6.21Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.59Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.77Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.06Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.35Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Pennsylvania1.150.0%1st Place
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10.77Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.2George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.11U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.6% |
| Margaux Cowles | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 26.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% |
| Ava Farley | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.