← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+6.53vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.46+5.42vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.04+6.12vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.82+1.82vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.47+2.16vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.43+1.35vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.75-0.83vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.93vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.37vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.58-2.96vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.03-1.89vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania1.15+0.80vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.57-2.30vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.84-4.54vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.76-1.21vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University1.26-3.84vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.13-4.33vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-9.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.42Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
9.12College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
-
5.82Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.16Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.35Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.17Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
11.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
-
12.37U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
7.04Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.11Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
12.8University of Pennsylvania1.150.0%1st Place
-
10.7Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
-
9.46University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
-
13.79University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
12.16George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
12.67Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
-
8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% |
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Margaux Cowles | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 15.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 23.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.