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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+1.68vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.52+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.02+2.77vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.52+3.10vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.34+1.38vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+3.65vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.09+2.04vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.52-0.90vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-1.52+1.58vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+1.69vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.30-1.19vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84-0.14vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-1.04-3.98vs Predicted
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15Indiana University-1.18-4.32vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.45-4.73vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-2.64-2.00vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-2.36-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Jacksonville University1.4530.1%1st Place
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3.06North Carolina State University1.5324.4%1st Place
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4.88University of South Florida0.5210.2%1st Place
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6.77University of Virginia0.025.4%1st Place
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8.1University of Texas-0.523.8%1st Place
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7.38Christopher Newport University-0.344.8%1st Place
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10.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.6%1st Place
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10.04Embry-Riddle University-1.092.1%1st Place
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8.1Clemson University-0.523.9%1st Place
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11.58The Citadel-1.521.8%1st Place
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12.69University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.0%1st Place
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10.81Florida Institute of Technology-1.302.5%1st Place
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12.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.840.8%1st Place
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10.02University of Florida-1.042.0%1st Place
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10.68Indiana University-1.182.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Maryland-1.451.3%1st Place
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15.0William and Mary-2.640.8%1st Place
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14.44University of North Carolina-2.360.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 30.1% | 25.2% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 24.4% | 23.6% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Fenner | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Conner Hedge | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| William Avery | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| John TIS | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| Lara Sloep | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Caswell Kern | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.0% |
| Ayden Feria | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Ian Knox | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Carter Saunders | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Shelby Woodward | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 36.9% |
| Megan Miller | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.