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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+8.75vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+8.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+4.00vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.20vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+6.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.29+4.98vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-2.32vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.04-0.20vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-3.16vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+1.25vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.60-1.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.27-0.61vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.47-6.87vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.08-2.50vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-1.34vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.73-6.81vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-6.89vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.99-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.05George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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4.68Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.8Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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9.83College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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11.39Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.13Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.19Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.95Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| Margo Cicero | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.5% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Young | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Marina Garrido | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% |
| Ellie Harned | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 25.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.