← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.55+5.13vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.73+7.38vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.92+1.77vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.04+3.79vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.27+5.96vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.30+0.82vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston1.60+2.67vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+2.90vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy1.29+1.97vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.47-3.58vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-2.58vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University1.22-0.38vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.70vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.52-4.34vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University0.99-2.92vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.57-2.17vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island1.08-5.07vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.13Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.38Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
-
4.77Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.79Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
-
10.96Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
-
6.82Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
9.67College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
-
10.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
-
10.97U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
-
6.42Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
11.62George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
10.3University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
-
9.66Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
12.08Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
-
13.83University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
11.93University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
-
9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.0% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 27.7% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.