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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.94vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+4.06vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47+3.34vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.60+5.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.73+4.07vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.57+7.67vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.08+4.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.29+2.86vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+0.56vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.77vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27+0.16vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.36vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.22-1.93vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.04-6.42vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-4.04vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.52-5.94vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.99-4.72vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.30-11.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.34Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.57College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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9.07Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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13.67University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.07George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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10.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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10.06Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.28Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 14.7% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 27.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.