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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+8.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+6.38vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+6.87vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.47+1.17vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+0.83vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.60+2.66vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.15vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+0.94vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.22+1.48vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.04-3.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.29-0.76vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.27-2.16vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-8.25vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.08-3.25vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.41-5.48vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.99-4.73vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.57-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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4.8Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.38Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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6.17Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.66College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.48George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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12.27Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% |
| Ellie Harned | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% |
| Sarah Young | 12.0% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 13.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.