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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+5.43vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+5.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.75vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.04+3.81vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+5.88vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22+5.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.29+3.95vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.27+2.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+0.57vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.49vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.55-4.94vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.60-1.99vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.99-1.04vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.41-3.85vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.08-3.24vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.52-5.87vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.73-7.77vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.57-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.75Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.81Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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10.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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11.29George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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10.96Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.06Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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11.96Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.23Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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13.56University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Young | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.