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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+8.36vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.47+4.36vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.80vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+8.01vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60+4.56vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.50vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.08+2.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.27+1.32vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-2.58vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.04vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.04-5.28vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-0.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.29-4.09vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-4.93vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-6.80vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.22-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.36Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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4.8Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.01Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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7.72Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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11.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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10.2Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.0George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% |
| Ellie Harned | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.4% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Young | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 25.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.