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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.69+3.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.25+3.34vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.72+4.08vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+0.97vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66-0.72vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.58+1.67vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.12+2.73vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.13-2.24vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.49-1.12vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.86+1.85vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-2.40vs Predicted
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12Brown University-0.22-2.01vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+1.16vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.44+2.35vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-1.26-2.15vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-7.16vs Predicted
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17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.47-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
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5.34Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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7.08Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.97Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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7.67Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston University-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.76Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University0.490.0%1st Place
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11.85Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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9.99Brown University-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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16.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.440.0%1st Place
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12.85Wesleyan University-1.260.0%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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13.48Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Macaulay | 16.7% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 16.6% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Thibodeau | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vose | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| John Van Zanten | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ali Zaidi | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Jason Dank | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 34.3% | 11.1% |
| Emily King | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 11.8% | 76.1% |
| Rory McClenahan | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 3.9% |
| John Divelbiss | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Daly | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 22.0% | 22.4% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.