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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+4.39vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+2.89vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.69+1.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.13+1.87vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.72+1.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University-0.22+4.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.66-2.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.49-0.32vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.06vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.60vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.12-1.23vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.58-4.51vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.47+0.37vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.86-2.00vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-0.94vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.26-3.05vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.44-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.89Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.29Tufts University1.690.2%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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10.16Brown University-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.36Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University0.490.1%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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9.77Boston University-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.49Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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13.37Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.470.0%1st Place
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12.0Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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14.06Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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12.95Wesleyan University-1.260.0%1st Place
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16.41University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 16.9% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ali Zaidi | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wallace | 15.6% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vose | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Thibodeau | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Daly | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 7.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 9.9% | 1.1% |
| Jason Dank | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 32.7% | 11.2% |
| Rory McClenahan | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 4.2% |
| Emily King | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.