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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.61+3.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+1.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+2.14vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+1.38vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.57+2.21vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.60-1.34vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.16+1.62vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41+5.12vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+3.14vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.78+1.55vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.81-4.23vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+1.48vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.06-0.53vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.27-5.56vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.72-3.64vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.91-1.43vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Tufts University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.05Tufts University2.230.3%1st Place
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5.14Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University0.570.0%1st Place
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4.66Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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13.12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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11.55Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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13.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.47Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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8.44Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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11.36Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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14.57Wesleyan University-1.910.0%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larzelere | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 26.5% | 21.1% | 19.0% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Brighton | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 13.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 17.6% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Kannon Behrens | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 19.3% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9.2% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Josh Sultanik | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Katie Estep | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 35.4% |
| Caleb Burt | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.