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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+2.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.59+0.75vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.61+1.82vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.81+2.89vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.57+2.51vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.16+2.96vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.36-1.63vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.06+4.27vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.41+4.60vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.46+3.50vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.27-2.43vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+0.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.27vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-9.12vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-1.91-0.52vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.78-4.33vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.72-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Tufts University2.230.2%1st Place
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2.75Tufts University2.590.3%1st Place
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4.82Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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5.37Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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12.27Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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13.6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.410.0%1st Place
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13.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.460.0%1st Place
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8.57Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.88Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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14.48Wesleyan University-1.910.0%1st Place
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11.67Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.57Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 20.9% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Terry | 29.4% | 24.3% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Brighton | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 18.4% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 16.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Porter Bell | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Estep | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 36.2% |
| Kannon Behrens | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Josh Sultanik | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.