Race 1A

saisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 19.8% 17.5% 16.1% 14.4% 14.3% 9.8% 4.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 14.3% 13.9% 13.0% 15.1% 14.0% 12.0% 10.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 18.1% 17.4% 17.9% 15.2% 12.3% 9.8% 5.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Briana Hummel 5.1% 6.9% 6.7% 9.9% 11.9% 14.1% 17.7% 12.8% 10.5% 3.6% 0.8%
KA Hamner 4.0% 4.4% 5.6% 6.5% 7.7% 10.9% 13.5% 18.7% 16.6% 9.7% 2.4%
Grace Squires 20.9% 22.1% 17.2% 14.0% 10.0% 7.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 4.2% 3.6% 5.0% 5.0% 7.7% 10.0% 15.1% 17.5% 17.2% 10.6% 4.1%
Katie Nelson 10.6% 10.2% 13.5% 13.3% 13.8% 13.6% 11.8% 8.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Sarah Weese 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5% 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 8.7% 13.5% 30.5% 33.4%
Kathleen Perry 0.6% 0.9% 0.4% 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 3.2% 6.5% 12.5% 22.6% 47.1%
Natalie Ryder 1.4% 1.9% 3.1% 3.5% 4.0% 7.1% 9.1% 14.6% 22.2% 21.2% 11.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.