Race 2A

saisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 18.5% 18.9% 16.5% 15.1% 13.7% 9.3% 5.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 13.7% 13.2% 15.6% 13.0% 15.1% 12.0% 9.1% 5.7% 2.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Grace Squires 20.3% 19.9% 17.8% 14.7% 12.3% 8.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Katie Nelson 9.5% 9.8% 10.9% 13.5% 14.0% 16.3% 11.8% 8.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.1%
KA Hamner 4.0% 4.6% 4.8% 6.8% 9.1% 9.4% 14.9% 17.5% 16.1% 10.6% 2.2%
Olivia Sowa 19.8% 18.9% 17.9% 15.1% 10.1% 8.0% 5.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Briana Hummel 7.4% 8.1% 8.5% 10.3% 11.8% 15.3% 13.9% 13.0% 8.1% 3.0% 0.6%
Natalie Ryder 2.3% 0.8% 2.1% 3.7% 3.7% 6.3% 10.9% 15.6% 19.4% 21.5% 13.7%
Lily Schwartz 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 5.2% 6.1% 9.2% 15.1% 18.5% 17.6% 12.6% 4.6%
Kathleen Perry 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.5% 6.5% 12.9% 20.3% 49.0%
Sarah Weese 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 2.0% 2.0% 3.4% 4.9% 8.4% 17.6% 29.6% 29.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.