Race 3A

saisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 18.9% 17.7% 17.2% 15.5% 14.3% 8.2% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 12.6% 14.5% 15.2% 14.5% 14.0% 10.8% 10.4% 5.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Grace Squires 20.3% 19.3% 18.1% 15.3% 11.8% 7.7% 4.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Briana Hummel 5.5% 7.1% 6.9% 9.2% 10.8% 16.0% 16.9% 13.6% 8.9% 4.4% 0.7%
Olivia Sowa 21.2% 18.9% 16.2% 14.3% 11.1% 9.3% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Katie Nelson 9.3% 12.0% 11.8% 13.7% 12.2% 14.5% 11.9% 9.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Lily Schwartz 4.4% 3.8% 4.4% 4.8% 8.7% 9.7% 14.5% 18.2% 17.6% 11.1% 2.8%
KA Hamner 4.3% 3.8% 5.3% 7.1% 9.3% 12.6% 15.0% 15.8% 15.3% 9.1% 2.4%
Natalie Ryder 2.1% 1.6% 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 5.6% 6.8% 15.3% 24.2% 21.3% 14.0%
Sarah Weese 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.8% 2.5% 5.8% 8.5% 14.1% 29.1% 32.7%
Kathleen Perry 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 3.1% 3.3% 7.1% 12.0% 22.7% 47.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.