Race 4A

saisa-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Olivia Sowa 18.5% 18.3% 17.9% 14.5% 14.1% 8.8% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 14.2% 12.4% 15.4% 14.8% 13.0% 11.6% 10.9% 5.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Grace Squires 20.5% 21.2% 15.9% 14.0% 12.9% 8.0% 5.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Allen 19.0% 16.9% 16.3% 17.5% 11.9% 8.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 3.9% 4.0% 3.3% 5.7% 6.5% 9.6% 13.4% 18.8% 19.2% 10.8% 4.8%
Natalie Ryder 1.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 5.4% 8.9% 15.1% 21.8% 22.1% 13.7%
Briana Hummel 7.7% 6.9% 9.1% 10.1% 11.5% 16.3% 14.2% 12.8% 7.8% 3.1% 0.5%
Kathleen Perry 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 2.8% 3.2% 5.9% 13.1% 21.5% 48.5%
Katie Nelson 9.2% 11.4% 12.1% 11.5% 13.9% 15.0% 11.9% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.1%
KA Hamner 4.3% 4.9% 5.3% 5.8% 8.5% 10.5% 15.7% 17.7% 15.6% 9.5% 2.2%
Sarah Weese 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 5.5% 8.7% 14.1% 30.9% 30.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.