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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.82+6.59vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.01vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.30+5.02vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.87vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.94+3.94vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.02vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.73vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.47+2.45vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-4.37vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.84+2.73vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.81-1.54vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-5.61vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.12-4.12vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.03-0.87vs Predicted
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16Washington College-0.28-1.00vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-6.31vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.46-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59George Washington University1.827.0%1st Place
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5.11Georgetown University2.7513.4%1st Place
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7.01University of Pennsylvania2.427.8%1st Place
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9.02Webb Institute1.305.3%1st Place
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5.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.5%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University1.943.9%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Naval Academy2.6010.7%1st Place
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8.73SUNY Maritime College1.884.7%1st Place
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11.45Hampton University1.473.1%1st Place
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5.63Cornell University2.3812.2%1st Place
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13.73Christopher Newport University-0.841.1%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University1.813.3%1st Place
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7.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.167.1%1st Place
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9.88Drexel University1.123.9%1st Place
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14.13University of Virginia-0.031.1%1st Place
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15.0Washington College-0.280.6%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.9%1st Place
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13.4Princeton University0.461.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Bridget Green | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 16.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Will Murray | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Toby Sullivan | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 21.6% |
| Patrick Tis | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 34.2% |
| Lars Osell | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.