Race 5A

saisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 19.1% 18.0% 16.6% 15.3% 13.7% 9.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 13.4% 13.6% 15.2% 14.5% 13.5% 12.5% 8.8% 5.6% 2.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Grace Squires 20.0% 20.2% 17.3% 15.2% 10.7% 9.5% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 19.5% 17.4% 15.6% 16.5% 12.5% 9.4% 5.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Katie Nelson 10.6% 11.3% 12.4% 11.9% 13.3% 12.0% 13.2% 8.8% 5.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Briana Hummel 5.4% 8.5% 7.5% 9.8% 11.3% 14.5% 16.0% 13.1% 8.4% 4.5% 1.0%
KA Hamner 4.9% 4.4% 5.2% 6.5% 7.6% 12.9% 15.0% 17.5% 15.3% 9.0% 1.7%
Lily Schwartz 3.7% 3.2% 4.4% 5.5% 8.9% 9.0% 14.4% 18.0% 17.1% 12.8% 3.0%
Natalie Ryder 2.1% 2.0% 2.8% 2.3% 4.1% 5.0% 8.7% 14.6% 21.5% 21.9% 15.0%
Kathleen Perry 0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 0.9% 1.8% 2.3% 3.7% 7.4% 11.2% 20.7% 49.5%
Sarah Weese 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.6% 3.1% 5.4% 8.7% 16.5% 29.3% 29.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.