Race 6A

saisa-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 18.7% 19.5% 17.2% 15.2% 12.7% 9.5% 4.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Katie Nelson 10.0% 10.7% 11.9% 14.7% 13.7% 13.6% 11.3% 9.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Grace Squires 19.9% 21.9% 17.1% 12.9% 13.0% 7.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 12.7% 12.9% 13.2% 14.7% 15.3% 13.1% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Olivia Sowa 22.1% 16.1% 18.5% 15.1% 11.0% 9.6% 4.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 2.6% 3.9% 4.6% 5.8% 6.4% 8.4% 14.1% 18.3% 18.5% 12.4% 5.0%
KA Hamner 4.9% 4.5% 5.0% 7.2% 8.1% 11.1% 15.1% 17.2% 15.6% 9.1% 2.2%
Natalie Ryder 1.8% 1.5% 2.7% 2.3% 3.9% 5.7% 12.0% 14.2% 20.8% 22.1% 13.0%
Briana Hummel 6.1% 7.4% 7.5% 8.7% 12.5% 14.2% 15.5% 13.3% 10.1% 3.6% 1.1%
Kathleen Perry 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.6% 3.7% 7.3% 11.5% 20.6% 49.1%
Sarah Weese 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 1.6% 4.4% 4.8% 9.2% 15.5% 30.0% 29.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.