Race 7A

saisa-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Allen 17.3% 20.2% 16.7% 15.9% 13.9% 8.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Squires 22.4% 19.8% 18.3% 13.8% 11.0% 7.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 12.6% 11.1% 13.7% 15.3% 14.2% 14.9% 10.0% 5.2% 2.7% 0.2% 0.1%
KA Hamner 3.3% 3.6% 4.0% 6.0% 7.9% 10.6% 16.9% 18.9% 16.4% 9.8% 2.6%
Katie Nelson 9.4% 11.6% 12.4% 12.4% 13.6% 13.8% 12.0% 8.2% 5.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Lily Schwartz 2.7% 3.4% 4.7% 5.6% 6.3% 10.1% 15.5% 17.9% 16.3% 13.3% 4.2%
Olivia Sowa 22.8% 19.5% 15.8% 14.9% 12.0% 7.4% 4.6% 1.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Briana Hummel 6.9% 6.6% 9.8% 9.4% 12.8% 15.0% 13.7% 13.8% 8.5% 2.8% 0.7%
Sarah Weese 0.8% 1.5% 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 3.5% 3.9% 8.4% 12.9% 31.0% 33.2%
Kathleen Perry 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.8% 4.2% 6.3% 12.7% 21.5% 47.2%
Natalie Ryder 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 3.8% 4.2% 6.3% 8.9% 15.4% 23.2% 20.4% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.