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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+2.27vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.65+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+1.35vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17+3.35vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.52-0.29vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65-3.74vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.80+0.20vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.01-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.44-0.79vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.76-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27College of Charleston1.750.2%1st Place
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3.43North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.35University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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7.35Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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4.79Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Miami0.520.1%1st Place
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3.26Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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8.2University of Florida-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.8Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Georgia-1.440.0%1st Place
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9.63Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 20.0% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 19.2% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.7% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 5.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Briana Hummel | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Emily Allen | 23.1% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ryder | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 22.4% | 12.8% |
| KA Hamner | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Weese | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 26.2% | 32.7% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 24.6% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.