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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.08vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.41vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+2.79vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+1.20vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.13vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47-0.51vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-1.40vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.12+2.18vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.81-1.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.30-0.18vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32+2.09vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.67-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.35+2.45vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.69-2.48vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.62-6.66vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.18-2.54vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.18vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.77-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.79Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.2Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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5.49Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.6Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.68Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.82Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston College2.670.0%1st Place
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15.45University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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11.52Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.34Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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13.46Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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14.45Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 8.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 37.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 10.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 15.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.