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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+4.39vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+2.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+1.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43+0.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.23vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.69+4.76vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.12+2.19vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.30+0.53vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62-1.37vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-3.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.84vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.67-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.35+1.48vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.32-2.01vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.18-2.49vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.25vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.72Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.37Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.76Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.02Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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15.48University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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13.51Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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14.75Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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13.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.0% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sam Harris | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 18.0% | 39.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 7.6% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 11.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 21.2% | 23.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.