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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.48vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+5.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.62+4.32vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.32+7.00vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-1.41vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.67+0.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.69+2.84vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.35+5.78vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.30-1.17vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.42-6.06vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-7.64vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.43-1.53vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.28vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.12-5.62vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.24vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-9.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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13.0University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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5.59Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.84Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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15.78University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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9.83Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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5.94Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.36Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.47Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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13.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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10.38Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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14.76Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 7.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Sam Harris | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 44.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 6.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 12.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 21.0% | 24.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.