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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+4.76vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.44vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.37vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+2.23vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.12+5.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.99vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.30+2.66vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.43+4.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-3.49vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.47-4.35vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.74vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.32+1.41vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.62-4.62vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.67-5.96vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.32vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.81-8.16vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.69-5.02vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.35-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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5.37Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.59Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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5.51Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.65Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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13.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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14.68Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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7.84Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.98Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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15.51University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 13.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 10.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 22.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.