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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+4.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+5.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+3.55vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+1.63vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+0.66vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.69+6.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.40vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62+0.55vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.67-0.64vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-1.84vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-5.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.58vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.43-0.29vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.32-1.03vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.12-4.60vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.11vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.35-1.21vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.79-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.63Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.02Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston College2.670.0%1st Place
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8.16Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.86Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.71Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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12.97University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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15.79University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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14.57Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.3% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 4.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 7.5% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 13.7% |
| Sam Harris | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 43.3% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.