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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+4.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.31vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23+2.31vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67+3.34vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47-0.33vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+0.23vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-0.15vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.62-0.41vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.12+0.67vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.54-5.47vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.31vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.43-0.27vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.69-2.26vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.16vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.32-2.76vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.35-1.21vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.79-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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5.96Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.67Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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12.73Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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11.74Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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15.79University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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14.56Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 7.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 13.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 9.3% |
| Sam Harris | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 43.0% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.