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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.86vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.95vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.12+5.37vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.25vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-1.60vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.47-3.43vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32+2.25vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-3.10vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-1.20vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.79+0.46vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.43-2.20vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.53-7.00vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.35-1.23vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.52Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.76Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.57Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.8Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.46Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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12.8Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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9.0Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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15.77University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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13.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 10.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 20.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Harris | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 44.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.