Race 3B

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Barrows 48.9% 26.1% 14.3% 5.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ambrose Gosling 21.3% 28.3% 21.0% 14.0% 10.0% 3.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Grabe 2.8% 4.5% 6.7% 7.5% 10.2% 12.9% 18.0% 25.6% 10.4% 1.4%
Leah Hughes 5.2% 10.9% 14.3% 16.7% 18.7% 14.8% 11.5% 6.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Madeleine Harvey 5.5% 6.2% 10.6% 11.6% 13.0% 18.6% 15.7% 13.8% 4.6% 0.4%
Chandler Salisbury 9.4% 12.6% 17.5% 18.8% 16.1% 12.1% 8.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Robert Keller 2.0% 3.3% 5.5% 10.0% 11.5% 15.4% 18.6% 23.3% 9.3% 1.1%
Sean Andrew 4.0% 7.4% 9.0% 13.1% 14.0% 16.8% 18.3% 12.2% 4.9% 0.3%
Nate Olsen 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 2.1% 2.5% 4.1% 5.2% 11.0% 53.6% 19.2%
Gabriel Elder 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 4.2% 14.4% 77.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.