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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+9.03vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+7.13vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+0.92vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+6.24vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.02+3.10vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+6.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.89vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.99+1.22vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.96+0.12vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10+0.97vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.60-0.33vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93+1.04vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-1.74vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.71-8.39vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.77-6.72vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.09-7.99vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.55-3.41vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.20-9.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.03College of Charleston1.814.2%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University1.975.1%1st Place
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3.92Stanford University3.3020.6%1st Place
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10.24Dartmouth College2.102.9%1st Place
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8.1Tulane University2.026.2%1st Place
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12.82Northeastern University1.222.2%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.0%1st Place
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9.22Brown University1.994.9%1st Place
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9.12Cornell University1.965.3%1st Place
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10.97Harvard University2.103.7%1st Place
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10.67University of South Florida1.602.9%1st Place
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13.04George Washington University0.931.5%1st Place
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11.26Bowdoin College1.512.9%1st Place
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5.61Yale University2.7111.4%1st Place
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8.28University of Pennsylvania1.777.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston College2.096.1%1st Place
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13.59Tufts University0.551.7%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University2.206.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.6% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 19.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 26.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.