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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+6.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+3.93vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+3.49vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-0.63vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.53+0.81vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.43-3.36vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.54-4.44vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-2.99vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69+0.15vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-2.81vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.32-1.20vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.18-1.44vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.18vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.28vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.35-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.93Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.55Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.81Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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5.64Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.56Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.15Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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13.56Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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14.72Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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15.51University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 7.7% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 20.6% | 23.3% |
| Sam Harris | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 20.6% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.