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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+6.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.92vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+2.83vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-0.95vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.62+1.56vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-2.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.40-3.17vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.53-0.82vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.18+2.60vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69+0.15vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32-0.10vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.51vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-8.67vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.35-0.32vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.12-6.43vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.77-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.87Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.51Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.83Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.18Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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13.6Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
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12.15Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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13.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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15.68University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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14.54Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.8% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 11.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 7.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 12.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 40.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.